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Bernanke Scheduled To Speak Tuesday - Economic Preview Forex
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(RTTNews) - It was a relatively flat day on Wall Street Monday,
with the Dow barely extending its losses and closing down less than
10 points after a somewhat shaky session. Analysts are looking
forward to Tuesday, when there are no major economic reports
scheduled for release however Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
will speak along with a pair of Federal Reserve officials.
At 9:00 am ET, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak about reducing
mortgage foreclosures at the Independent Community Bankers
convention, in Orlando, Florida. Investors will look for additional
signs that the Fed Chairman plans to cut interest rates further in
March.
At 1:00 pm ET, a pair of Federal Reserve officials will address
economic issues. Inflation hawk and Dallas Federal Reserve Bank
President Richard Fisher will speak about balancing inflation and
growth to the Society of Business Economists, in London. Fisher is
an FOMC voting member Also speaking is Federal Reserve Governor
Frederic Mishkin, who is also a FOMC voting member. He will speak
about the U.S. economic outlook at the National Association of
Business Economists' conference, in Arlington, Virginia.
Dollar Fights Back Versus Yen, Stable To Euro On Monday Forex
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(RTTNews) - The dollar clawed back a small portion of its heavy
recent losses to the yen but stayed near a record low against the
euro on Monday in New York. The dollar paused from its steep
downtrend against the euro and yen following the release of data
showing the US manufacturing slowed less than forecast in
January.
The report showed that the purchasing managers index fell to 48.3
in February from 50.7 in January, with a reading below 50
indicating contraction in the sector. Economists had been expecting
the index to fall to a reading of 48.0.
Also Monday morning, the Department of Commerce released its report
on construction spending in the month of January, showing that
spending fell by more than economists had been expecting due to
decreases in spending on both private and public construction.
Versus the euro, the dollar plumbed new record depths in overnight
trading before stabilizing over the course of the day. The dollar
dropped to 1.5275 for the first time ever, but firmed up to close
better than a penny from that level.
Euro zone's annual inflation held steady at 3.2% in February, same
as in January, the flash estimate from the Eurostat indicated
Monday. This was in line with expectations. The European Central
Banks is set to announce its latest interest rate decision on March
6. The central bank is widely expected to maintain its key interest
rate at 4% as it maintains it focus on inflation. The dollar
dropped to its lowest in over three years versus the yen in
Monday's very early deals, but stormed back to end a week-long
losing streak. The buck was at 103.40 by mid-afternoon, up from
102.60. The dollar has come under heavy pressure of late versus the
yen, with risk aversion leading traders to buy the safer, lower
yielding Japanese currency.
The dollar was little changed after choppy dealing versus the
sterling. The dollar dropped to 1.994 in late morning dealing, but
quickly recovered to close at 1.984. The dollar has been hovering
near a 2-month low of 1.9971 for the past week.
Speaking at a conference in London Monday, Bank of England's
executive director for markets Paul Tucker said central banks must
change the way they offer liquidity embattled commercial lenders.
The Bank of England will offer its next decision on interest rates
on Thursday following a two-day policy meeting. Most analysts are
prediction that the BOE will leave rates unchanged at 5.25 percent
due to concerns about inflation.
Fed's Kroszner Addresses Role Of Banks In Providing Liquidity
Forex News
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(RTTNews) - Federal Reserve Governor Randall Kroszner spoke Monday,
discussing the state of liquidity in the shaky credit markets. He
discussed the roles of banks in providing liquidity and offered
guidance for navigating this tumultuous time.
Kroszner discussed the global nature of the credit crunch and how
managing liquidity risk in times of stress becomes exceptionally
difficult. "Effective liquidity-risk management is especially
important--and especially challenging--during periods of financial
stress, when many markets can become less liquid and when some
entities may find it more difficult to fund themselves, " he said.
"In recent months, some of the well-known challenges associated
with liquidity-risk management were again revealed, to the surprise
of some market participants."
The Fed Governor focused on the role of banks as liquidity
providers and how that role has shifted in light of recent market
events. As banks become reluctant to lend money to one another, the
credit market reacts violently as liquidity disappears.
"If recent events have taught us anything, it is that, during times
of market turbulence, banks are essential providers of liquidity to
others, " Kroszner said. "To ensure that banks are well positioned
to play this critical role, banks need to carefully manage their
own exposure to liquidity risks. Because liquidity problems can
have significant effects on both sides of bank balance sheets,
liquidity risks should be evaluated and addressed on an
enterprise-wide basis, and should be tightly integrated with
capital planning."
Global Round Up - US, European Stocks Sag After Oracle Of Omaha
Calls Recession Forex News
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(RTTNews) - The mood remained relatively dour on Wall Street Monday
after the billionaire investor Warren Buffett conceded that that,
for all practical purposes, the US economy has slipped into
recession. Traders also considered data showing that factory
activity and construction both declined.
In afternoon trading, the major averages moved firmly into negative
territory, with the Nasdaq falling to its daily lows. Approaching 3
pm ET, the Nasdaq was down 19.37 at 2, 252.11, the Dow was down
59.59 at 12, 206.80 and the S P 500 was down 4.66 at 1, 325.97.
European markets fell for the fourth consecutive day on growing
concern that the U.S. economy is heading for a recession and on
fears that financial companies will report more writedowns. Fears
of a US recession deepened after ISM data showed that activity in
manufacturing sector contracted in the month of February. Although
the index of activity in the sector came in slightly above analyst
estimates, markets focuses on weakness in new orders and
employment.
Buffett, the "Oracle of Omaha" and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, did
little to improve sentiment, telling CNBC that the US economy is in
recession and, at the same time, "stocks are not cheap." Buffett
also announced that he has rescinded his offer to bail out
floundering bond insurers Ambac Financial Group Inc. (ABK), MBIA
Inc. (MBI), and Financial Guarantee Insurance Co. In mid-February
he offered to reinsure some $800 billion in municipal bonds backed
by those top three bond insurers.
Looking ahead to Tuesday's Asian session, traders will see the
release of Australia's current account figures for the fourth
quarter as well as January's retail sales figures. Both reports are
set to be released at 11:30 am in Syndey on Tuesday.
Analysts are predicting that Australia's current account deficit
widened to a record A$18.5 in the fourth quarter. Australia posted
a deficit of A$15.587 in the third quarter. Meanwhile, analysts are
looking for Australian retail sales to have risen for an eighth
month in January. Retail sales likely rose 0.5 percent in January,
matching the increase in December. Asian stocks were pummelled on
Monday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average closed down 610.84 points
or 4.5% at 12, 992.18. The key index closed below the 13, 000 mark
for the first time since January 23.
Gold Touches Above $990, Closes At Another Record Forex
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