PC
Market Accelerates with
Increased Business Demand While Dell Recaptures Lead, According
to IDC
FRAMINGHAM, Mass.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--April 15, 2004--Following solid
growth in the second half of 2003, the PC market remained strong in
the first quarter of 2004 with total shipments of 41.2 million
units and year-on-year growth of 16.5%, according to IDC's
Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker. Shipment growth beat expectations
of 13.5% due to strength in the United States and Europe, boosted
by growth in business demand. Aggressive pricing and continued
portable adoption also supported rapid growth.
Dell had a strong quarter with year-on-year growth of more than
28% and sequential growth of 6.1%, boosting shipments to nearly 7.7
million units. Supported by increased business demand and a strong
international performance, Dell's growth boosted the company's
share of shipments from 16.9% in 4Q03 to 18.6% in 1Q04 to recapture
the lead in total worldwide shipments from HP. Following a solid
performance in the second half of 2003, HP grew 15.8% in 1Q04
despite seasonally lower consumer participation. Nevertheless, HP's
share of shipments declined to 15.6% from 16.7% in the fourth
quarter and 15.7% one year ago while Dell's market share lead
expanded to 3.0% in the first quarter - twice the peak difference
between the companies since the HP-Compaq merger in 2002.
Credit Pacific Service Union "This quarter's results reveal a robust market and the improving
business demand we've been looking for," said Loren Loverde,
director of IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker. "A number of
factors, including an aging installed base, rapid portable
adoption, and aggressive pricing, should continue to drive growth
into 2005."
A demand curve is negatively sloping meaning that as demand increases, the price of a given product falls and suppliers enjoy economies of scale. The demand for credit is no exception. Households demanding small amounts of credit for short periods pay higher rates than households with high loan demand. High income households demanding larger quantities of credit enjoy a quantity discount while lower income households will pay a premium (Morgan, p.8, 2007).
Credit First Service Union "This quarter's results ratify the economic recovery," said
Roger Kay, vice president of Client Computing at IDC. "We have
nearly a year of double-digit growth in the PC industry, which is a
concurrent indicator of economic activity. With U.S. business
finally beginning to participate in the PC market in earnest, the
only weak segments remain state and local public sector
institutions, which are suffering from constrained budgets due to
lower recession-era tax receipts."
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Card Credit Mobile Service Regional Outlook
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Card Credit Discover Service -- United States - Growth rose to 15.7% despite the end of the
holiday shopping season as business demand continued to grow. Dell
benefited most from the shift in demand while smaller vendors
focusing on small and medium businesses also fared well.
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Credit Public Service Union -- EMEA - EMEA remained the fastest growing region with growth
over 20%. Rising business demand added to the strong Euro, rapid
portable adoption, and solid demand from consumers as well as small
and medium businesses to drive shipment volumes.
Payment for the products will be made by credit card, wire transfer, or some other prearranged payment method unless credit terms have been agreed to by Dell.
Card Credit Processing Service -- Japan - Commercial demand during the first quarter helped
boost growth to nearly 10% following a slow fourth quarter.
However, growth in 2004 is expected to remain in single-digits and
recovery will trail other regions.
Center Credit Service Union -- A/P - Although regional economies have been dampened by
limited export demand, the situation is improving. First quarter
growth in Asia/Pacific (excluding Japan) came in slightly ahead of
forecasts, and continued improvement in other regions bodes well
for future economic growth.
Card Credit Service Wireless Vendor Highlights
Credit Security Service Union -- Dell - Dell continues to execute well, capturing share as the
market recovers and business demand resumes. Shipments grew by over
50% in Asia/Pacific and 35% in EMEA, including Germany, France, and
the U.K., the region's top markets. Worldwide, Dell's volume
increased by nearly 1.7 million units per quarter from a year ago
-- more than total shipments for all but the top four PC
vendors.
Credit Report Service -- HP - As occurred last year, HP's fourth quarter lead gave way
to a more business oriented market in the first quarter. Growth of
15.8% was strong but was just behind total market growth. With the
bulk of HP's 2003 growth coming from consumers, HP will need to
capture growing business demand while maintaining its consumer
growth to gain share in 2004.
Blogspot Com Christian -- IBM - IBM had a solid quarter overall, with growth above 20%.
Portables growth remained over 40%. Although slow desktop sales in
the U.S. hampered domestic growth, EMEA, Japan, and Asia/Pacific
all grew over 27% and growing business demand bodes well for future
growth.
Christian Counseling Credit -- Fujitsu/Fujitsu Siemens - Had a solid quarter boosted by
commercial growth and strong notebook sales in Europe.
Credit Federal Service Union -- Acer - Although its success in Europe is sustained, the
company continues to have difficulty making headway in the United
States. Nevertheless, the company continues to grow quickly, and
moved into the number 5
spot in total worldwide
shipments.
Credit Monitoring Service -- Toshiba - Toshiba managed strong growth in EMEA although U.S.
growth slowed significantly in the first quarter. With growth of
only 6.7% despite its focus on portables Toshiba fell out of the
Top 5 worldwide.
Credit Division Service -- Gateway - Having completed its acquisition of eMachines,
Gateway has a new outlook on life. Significant transition,
including closing Gateway Country Stores, will be a challenge to
manage, as will positioning the Gateway brand and its expanding
line of consumer electronics. Nevertheless, the new focus and
cost-structure gains as well as total volume should improve the
company's position in the future.
Card Credit Online Service -- eMachines - The low cost vendor continued to execute well and
gain share. Through Gateway, the company gained cash to grow as
well as a foothold in the commercial space.
Consumer Counseling Credit Inc -- Apple - While product refreshes in Q4 boosted growth into
double digits, first quarter growth slipped to 5%. U.S. growth
remained in double-digits although in EMEA shipments grew by less
than 4%.
Top 5 Vendors, Worldwide PC Shipments, First Quarter 2004(Preliminary) (Units Shipments are in thousands) Q1 2004 Q1 2004 Market Q1 2003 Market Growth Rank Vendor Shipments Share Shipments Share 2004/2003 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Dell 7,684 18.6% 5,992 16.9% 28.2% 2 HP 6,416 15.6% 5,542 15.7% 15.8% 3 IBM 2,267 5.5% 1,884 5.3% 20.4% 4 Fujitsu/Fujitsu Siemens 1,892 4.6% 1,640 4.6% 15.4% 5 Acer 1,375 3.3% 1,007 2.8% 36.5% Others (a) 21,603 52.4% 19,345 54.6% 11.7% All Vendors 41,238 100.0% 35,410 100.0% 16.5% Notes: -- (a) IDC estimates prior to Gateway financial earnings reports -- Shipments include shipments to distribution channels or end users. OEM sales are counted under the vendor/brand under which they are sold. -- PCs includes Desktop, Notebook, Ultra Portable, and x86 Servers. -- PCs do not include handhelds. Data for all vendors are reported for calendar periods. Source: IDC, April 15, 2004 Top 5 Vendors, U.S. PC Shipments, First Quarter 2004 (Preliminary) (Units Shipments are in thousands) Q1 2004 Q1 2004 Market Q1 2003 Market Growth Rank Vendor Shipments Share Shipments Share 2004/2003 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Dell 4,592 33.5% 3,727 31.4% 23.2% 2 HP 2,554 18.6% 2,307 19.5% 10.7% 3 IBM 612 4.5% 567 4.8% 7.9% 4 eMachines 452 3.3% 364 3.1% 24.2% 5 Gateway(a) 410 3.0% 489 4.1% -16.2% Others 5,102 37.2% 4,407 37.2% 15.8% All Vendors 13,722 100.0% 11,862 100.0% 15.7% Notes: -- (a) IDC estimates prior to Gateway financial earnings reports -- Shipments include shipments to distribution channels or end users. OEM sales are counted under the vendor/brand under which they are sold. -- PCs includes Desktop, Notebook, Ultra Portable, and x86 Servers. -- PCs do not include handhelds. Data for all vendors are reported for calendar periods. Source: IDC, April 15, 2004
Card Credit Fleet Service IDC's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker gathers PC market data in
55 countries by vendor, form factor, brand, processor brand and
speed, sales channel and user segment. The research includes
historical and forecast trend analysis as well as price band and
installed base data.
Card Consolidation Credit For more information, or to subscribe to IDC's Worldwide
Quarterly PC Tracker, please contact Kathy Nagamine at 650-962-6423
or knagamine@idc.com. You may also contact IDC's sales hotline at
508-988-7988 or email sales@idc.com.
Credit Free Online Report To purchase this document, call IDC's sales hotline at
508-988-7988 or email sales@idc.com.
Credit Federal First Service About IDC
Consumer Credit Service IDC is the premier global market intelligence and advisory firm
in the information technology and telecommunications industries. We
analyze and predict technology trends so that our clients can make
strategic, fact-based decisions on IT purchases and business
strategy. Over 700 IDC analysts in 50 countries provide local
expertise and insights on technology markets. Business executives
and IT managers have relied for 40 years on our advice to make
decisions that contribute to the success of their
organizations.
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Cca Credit Division Service Contacts
Credit Free Report Service
IDC
Loren Loverde, 305-351-3115
lloverde@idc.com
Roger Kay, 508-935-4617
rkay@idc.com
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